Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Inner Circle Academy - Map 1 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+19.4pp
24h Vol
$6.5K
Liquidity
$305.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+31.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 19pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $6.5k traded against $305.6k of visible liquidity (0.02× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.5h
- 14:31SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:31PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 100¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.0pp
to 100¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 76¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 81¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 76¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 75¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 78¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 83¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 77¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 78¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 79¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 69¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 78¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 80¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 72¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 22.5pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 85¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 81¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 80¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 1 match between Sinners and Inner Circle Academy in the LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sinners" if Sinners win Map 1 against Inner Circle Academy. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Academy" if Inner Circle Academy win Map 1 against Sinners. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://hltv.orgNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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