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OtherExpires Apr 29, 2026

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner

Probability

78¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$3.57

Liquidity

$6.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+9.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:36
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 78¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 100h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 100.4h

    LOW
  • 14:36Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 100h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Vitality and FUT Esports in the BLAST Rivals Group A, initially scheduled for April 29 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vitality" if Vitality win Map 2 against FUT Esports. This market will resolve to "FUT Esports" if FUT Esports win Map 2 against Vitality. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).