Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs RED Canids - Map 2 Winner
Probability
47¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
+19.0pp
24h Vol
$330.12
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 19pp over 24h
Now 47¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 36h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 36h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 36 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 35.8h
- 13:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 36h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 47¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 46¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 46¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Yawara Esports and RED Canids in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win Map 2 against RED Canids. This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win Map 2 against Yawara Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://hltv.orgNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).