Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-11.5pp
24h Vol
$297.84
Liquidity
$394.94
Probability (last 7 days)
-26.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 12pp over 24h
Now 4¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 70h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $395 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 70h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 70 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 70.1h
- 17:52SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 70h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-11.0pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -31.5pp at 2d ago (to 17¢).
Show all 30 hour-by-hour ticks
- 17:00 · -16.0pp → 4¢
- 15:00 · -30.3pp → 4¢
- 14:00 · -18.8pp → 4¢
- 12:00 · -29.5pp → 5¢
- 11:00 · -28.0pp → 7¢
- 09:00 · -27.5pp → 7¢
- 08:00 · -28.0pp → 7¢
- 06:00 · -20.5pp → 14¢
- 05:00 · -21.5pp → 13¢
- 03:00 · -25.0pp → 7¢
- 02:00 · -20.0pp → 10¢
- 00:00 · -13.0pp → 17¢
- 23:00 · -13.0pp → 17¢
- 21:00 · -13.5pp → 16¢
- 20:00 · -16.0pp → 14¢
- 18:00 · -19.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -15.0pp → 14¢
- 1d ago · -9.5pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · -4.5pp → 25¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 32¢
- 1d ago · -21.0pp → 19¢
- 2d ago · -31.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -5.5pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 28¢
- 2d ago · +13.0pp → 33¢
- 2d ago · +15.5pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +11.5pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · +8.5pp → 31¢
- 2d ago · +4.0pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · -11.5pp → 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times CZ (@cz_binance), posts on X between April 21, 12:00 PM ET and April 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- @cz_binanceSocial media postx.com
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.