CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Dogecoin Up or Down on April 26?

Probability

49¢

1h

-1.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$119.85

Liquidity

$583.56

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 17:00Apr 26, 2026, 04:19
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 49¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 82.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 4

    Expiry in 12h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 11.7h

    HIGH
  • 04:19Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Apr 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Apr 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Type
Exchange price
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (82.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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