Dogecoin Up or Down on April 26?
Probability
49¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$119.85
Liquidity
$583.56
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 49¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 82.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 12h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 11.7h
- 04:19SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Apr 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for DOGE/USDT Apr 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (82.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.