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OtherExpires May 6, 2026

DoorDash total orders above 920M in Q1?

Probability

95¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.5pp

24h Vol

$10.60

Liquidity

$58.36

Probability (last 7 days)

+24.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:14
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 95¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 250h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $58 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 249.8h

    LOW
  • 14:14Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 250h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:14Price

    Probability up 23.5pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 44.0pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 43.5pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 45.5pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 40.5pp

    to 95¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 39.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 39.5pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 69¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 42.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 20.5pp

    to 71¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 42.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 70¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 75¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -18.0pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 29.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 78¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -24.0pp

    to 62¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 65¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 38.0pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 67¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 94¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if DoorDash’s total number of orders (typically labeled “total orders”) for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is DoorDash’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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