SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Probability

50¢

1h

-2.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$212.3K

Liquidity

$72.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 21:00Apr 26, 2026, 03:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.9× turnover

    $212.3k traded against $72.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Expiry in 11h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 14:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 10.5h

    HIGH
  • 03:29Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Aurora and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Aurora. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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