Dota 2: AVULUS vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Group B

• 01
  Price move

  Down 12pp over 24h

  Now 44¢; +2.0pp in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 5h.

• 03
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $55 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

• 04
  Resolution proximity

  Expiry in 5h

  Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between AVULUS and Ilbirs eSports in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for April 30 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "AVULUS" if AVULUS win the match against Ilbirs eSports. This market will resolve to "Ilbirs eSports" if Ilbirs eSports win the match against AVULUS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.