SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner

Probability

76¢

1h

+29.5pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$522.8K

Liquidity

$26.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Heavy volume on this book — 20.1× turnover

    $522.8k traded against $26.0k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 4h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 22:15Resolve

    Market resolves in 3.9h

    HIGH
  • 18:21Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+37.5pp over the last 24h, now 89¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

2
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket semifinal match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 2 against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win Game 2 against Team Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
dotabuff.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.