Game Handicap: MODUS (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)

• 01
  Price move

  Down 50pp over 24h

  Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

• 02
  Active signal

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 2h.

• 03
  Liquidity

  Thin liquidity

  Only $1.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between MODUS and Team Nemesis in the European Pro League Group B, initially scheduled for May 6 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "MODUS" if MODUS wins 2 or more games than Team Nemesis in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Nemesis". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.