Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner
Probability
57¢
1h
-5.5pp
24h
-14.5pp
24h Vol
$2.6K
Liquidity
$11.9K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 57¢; -5.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.7h
- 19:17SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 3h.
Price movement
-14.5pp over the last 24h, now 57¢.
Biggest hourly move: +21.5pp at 2d ago (to 72¢).
Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
- 19:00 · -10.5pp → 60¢
- 17:00 · -9.0pp → 62¢
- 15:00 · -7.5pp → 63¢
- 14:00 · -5.5pp → 65¢
- 08:00 · -6.0pp → 68¢
- 05:00 · -4.5pp → 69¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 73¢
- 2d ago · +21.5pp → 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between MOUZ and Yellow Submarine in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for May 3 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Game 2 against Yellow Submarine. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 2 against MOUZ. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
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