SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$13.5K

Liquidity

$319.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $13.5k traded against $319.1k of visible liquidity (0.04× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Expiry in 0h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 21:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.1h

    HIGH
  • 20:56Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+50.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Nemiga Gaming and L1ga Team in the DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga Gaming" if Nemiga Gaming win Game 1 against L1ga Team. This market will resolve to "L1ga Team" if L1ga Team win Game 1 against Nemiga Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.