SportsExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+24.9pp

24h Vol

$35.5K

Liquidity

$265.7K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
dotabuff.com
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 29, 2026, 14:00May 3, 2026, 18:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 25pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $35.5k traded against $265.7k of visible liquidity (0.13× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.7h

    HIGH
  • 18:18Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+24.9pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +26.5pp at 16:00 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 16 hourly moves
  • 18:18 · +26.5pp → 100¢
  • 17:00 · +26.5pp → 100¢
  • 16:00 · +26.5pp → 100¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 76¢
  • 2d ago · +23.5pp → 74¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventDota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Zero Tenacity in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for May 3 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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