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OtherExpires Apr 24, 2026

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs

Probability

1h

-11.9pp

24h

-51.4pp

24h Vol

$1.4M

Liquidity

$441.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 14:00Apr 24, 2026, 18:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Without an Anthropic API key we show a heuristic summary derived from the market metrics.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 19:35Resolve

    Market resolves in 1.5h

    HIGH
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 51.4pp in 24h with 3.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 18:07Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Aurora in the PGL Wallachia Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 24 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 24, 2026
Resolution source
https://www.dotabuff.com
UMA status
proposed
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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