Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Cloud Dawning (BO1) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs
Probability
84¢
1h
-4.5pp
24h
-5.5pp
24h Vol
$655.96
Liquidity
$1.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 84¢; -4.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 7h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 12:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 7.2h
- 05:17SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 7h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-5.5pp over the last 24h, now 84¢.
Biggest hourly move: +38.5pp at 1d ago (to 89¢).
Show top 8 of 24 hourly moves
- 20:00 · +7.0pp → 90¢
- 18:00 · +7.5pp → 90¢
- 14:00 · +7.5pp → 91¢
- 13:00 · +7.0pp → 91¢
- 1d ago · +7.5pp → 89¢
- 1d ago · +15.0pp → 89¢
- 1d ago · +37.5pp → 89¢
- 1d ago · +38.5pp → 89¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
11- 0¢-67.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Sports · Vol $8.0M
- 0¢0.0
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Sports · Vol $3.1M
- 0¢-54.4
Oilers vs. Ducks
Sports · Vol $1.4M
- 0¢-49.5
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves: O/U 224.5
Sports · Vol $1.1M
- 2¢0.0
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $663.4K
- 0¢-47.4
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
Sports · Vol $647.0K
Market Description
This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Vici Gaming and Cloud Dawning in the ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 1 at 2:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Vici Gaming" if Vici Gaming win the match against Cloud Dawning. This market will resolve to "Cloud Dawning" if Cloud Dawning win the match against Vici Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.