Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winner
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-27.0pp
24h Vol
$69.6K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 27pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 12.3× turnover
$69.6k traded against $5.6k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h.
- 04Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $5.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.1h
- 19:07SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h.
Price movement
-27.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.9pp at 18:00 (to 0¢).
Show 7 hourly moves
- 18:00 · -29.9pp → 0¢
- 17:00 · -28.4pp → 0¢
- 15:00 · -3.0pp → 25¢
- 14:00 · -4.5pp → 27¢
- 06:00 · -5.5pp → 27¢
- 05:00 · -5.5pp → 27¢
- 03:00 · -23.0pp → 27¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Yellow Submarine and South America Rejects in the 1win Essence Group A, initially scheduled for May 2 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yellow Submarine" if Yellow Submarine win Game 1 against South America Rejects. This market will resolve to "South America Rejects" if South America Rejects win Game 1 against Yellow Submarine. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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