UnclassifiedExpires Apr 29, 2026

El Gouna SC vs. Haras El Hodood SC: Both Teams to Score

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.3pp

24h

+59.5pp

24h Vol

$7.9K

Liquidity

$85.3K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+46.5pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 19:00Apr 29, 2026, 18:17
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 59pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $7.9k traded against $85.3k of visible liquidity (0.09× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved up 59.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 04
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 05
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:18Signal

    Momentum up

    Probability moved up 59.5pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 18:18Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Resolve

    Market resolved 4h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+59.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +59.5pp at 18:00 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 59 hourly moves
  • 18:00 · +59.5pp → 100¢
  • 16:00 · +59.0pp → 100¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · -14.0pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game between El Gouna SC and Haras El Hodood SC, scheduled for April 29 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both El Gouna SC and Haras El Hodood SC each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on efa.com.eg. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
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