Spread: Smouha SC (-1.5)
Probability
26¢
1h
+23.4pp
24h
+22.9pp
24h Vol
$9.2K
Liquidity
$18.77
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (46.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 23pp over 24h
Now 26¢; +23.4pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 488.6× turnover
$9.2k traded against $19 of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 04Spread cost
Wide spread — 46.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (46.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:37SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
+22.9pp over the last 24h, now 26¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Egypt Egyptian Premier League game, scheduled for May 5 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Smouha SC" if Smouha SC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Zamalek SC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on efa.com.eg. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.