Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$3.6K
Liquidity
$25.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dAI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 240.8h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $3.5K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $13.5K
- 18¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $2.6K
- 18¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $2.9K
- 14¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $2.3K
- 12¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $2.7K
- 9¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $2.1K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
Other · Vol $2.7K
- 80¢+21.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.6M
- 2¢-0.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 50¢-8.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 0¢-35.4pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 93¢+28.0pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $968.7K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 5, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://x.com/elonmuskSocial media post
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
16 wallets- Unaware-Listing30.0K
- False-Immigrant30.0K
- Bumpy-Owl1.0K
- Zany-Pentagon1000
- Sizzling-Project653