SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 9.5 Total Corners

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-8.0pp

24h Vol

$1.5K

Liquidity

$2.62

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:41
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 8pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 96.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 17:41Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 16:30Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-8.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

Biggest hourly move: -8.0pp at 17:00 (to 50¢).

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if there are 10 or more total corners awarded in this game (combining corners for both teams). If the total number of corners is fewer than 10, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to corners awarded within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Corners awarded during extra time or penalty shootouts do not count. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official statisticsOfficial statistics
premierleague.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (96.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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