SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 3, 2026
Creator

Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-34.0pp

24h Vol

$5.8K

Liquidity

$61.9K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-32.5pp 7d
Apr 26, 2026, 21:00May 3, 2026, 20:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 34pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $5.8k traded against $61.9k of visible liquidity (0.09× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:48Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-34.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -34.9pp at 19:00 (to 0¢).

Show top 8 of 11 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · -34.9pp → 0¢
  • 19:00 · -34.9pp → 0¢
  • 02:00 · +6.5pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 35¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 35¢
  • 3d ago · +16.0pp → 35¢
  • 3d ago · -5.0pp → 28¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

6
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 3, 2026 If Aston Villa FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket