Manchester City FC leading at halftime?
Probability
49¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$388.02
Liquidity
$4.5K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 12h.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $4.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires May 4, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 19:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 11.8h
- 07:13SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 12h.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Biggest hourly move: +21.5pp at 3d ago (to 48¢).
Show top 8 of 19 hourly moves
- 3d ago · +21.5pp → 48¢
- 4d ago · +19.5pp → 48¢
- 4d ago · +19.5pp → 48¢
- 4d ago · +19.5pp → 48¢
- 4d ago · +13.0pp → 42¢
- 4d ago · +13.5pp → 41¢
- 4d ago · +20.5pp → 48¢
- 4d ago · +20.5pp → 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 4, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.