Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)
Probability
2¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
-8.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 2¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 7¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 9, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 88.1h
Price movement
-6.5pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.2pp at 17:00 (to 2¢).
Show 5 hourly moves
- 00:00 · -6.2pp → 2¢
- 22:00 · -6.1pp → 2¢
- 20:00 · -6.2pp → 2¢
- 19:00 · -6.2pp → 2¢
- 17:00 · -6.2pp → 2¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for May 9 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Brentford FC" if Brentford FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Manchester City FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
