SportsExpires May 5, 2026
Creator

Lakers vs. Thunder

Probability

12¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$26.7K

Liquidity

$7.9K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 5, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods
Link
nba.com
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 5, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
May 2, 2026, 11:00May 2, 2026, 16:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 3.4× turnover

    $26.7k traded against $7.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 59h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $7.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 59 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 59.0h

    HIGH
  • 16:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 59h.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 12¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feedBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLakers vs. Thunder
Category · Sports

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 5 at 12:00AM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket