Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-4.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$3.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+8.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 09:47SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.1pp
to 54¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.1pp
to 54¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.2pp
to 54¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.2pp
to 54¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 54¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 54¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 54¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.2pp
to 54¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.1pp
to 54¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.9pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.1pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.1pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.4pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.9pp
to 55¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for March 21 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Mar 21, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.premierleague.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (48.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).