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OtherExpires Mar 21, 2026

Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-4.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$3.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+8.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 10:00Apr 25, 2026, 09:47
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 09:47Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 13.1pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability up 13.1pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 11.2pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 11.2pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 11.1pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 11.1pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 11.2pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 11.1pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 11.9pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.1pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.1pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.4pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 12.9pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for March 21 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.premierleague.com/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (48.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).