SportsExpires Mar 21, 2026

Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)

Probability

34¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$6.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+2.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 22:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 53.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 22:01Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for March 21 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Manchester City FC" if Manchester City FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Crystal Palace FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Mar 21, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (53.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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