Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-2.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$832.38
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 7¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $832 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 108.4h
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Biggest hourly move: +37.5pp at 4d ago (to 44¢).
Show top 8 of 50 hourly moves
- 16:00 · -6.5pp → 6¢
- 12:00 · -7.0pp → 6¢
- 11:00 · -7.0pp → 6¢
- 09:00 · -7.0pp → 6¢
- 08:00 · -7.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -37.5pp → 7¢
- 3d ago · -14.5pp → 13¢
- 4d ago · +37.5pp → 44¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for May 10 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Newcastle United FC" if Newcastle United FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nottingham Forest FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.
