Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$392.56
Probability (last 7 days)
-26.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 48h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 48h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 48 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 48.4h
- 18:05SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 48h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Biggest hourly move: -31.0pp at 2d ago (to 14¢).
Show all 19 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:05 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 17:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 15:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 12:00 · -3.5pp → 11¢
- 11:00 · -3.5pp → 11¢
- 09:00 · -4.0pp → 11¢
- 08:00 · -4.0pp → 11¢
- 06:00 · -4.0pp → 11¢
- 02:00 · -3.0pp → 11¢
- 1d ago · +16.5pp → 30¢
- 2d ago · -31.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -26.0pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -22.0pp → 15¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 14¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 23¢+3.0pp
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 3¢-0.1pp
Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)
Other · Vol $82.91
- 8¢0.0pp
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)
Other · Vol $39.16
- 71¢+1.0pp
Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢-0.5pp
Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $0.00
- 45¢-0.5pp
Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 24¢-1.0pp
Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢-5.5pp
Cádiz CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 97¢+19.9pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 87¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $494.5K
- 0¢-1.7pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $478.1K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $473.7K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
- 1¢0.0pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $372.5K
Market Description
In the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for April 27 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cádiz CF" if Cádiz CF win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "UD Las Palmas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on laliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticslaliga.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.