Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 26?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.5pp
24h Vol
$53.8K
Liquidity
$26.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 6¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 2.1× turnover
$53.8k traded against $26.2k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 25h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 25.1h
- 14:55SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 6¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -44.0pp
to 6¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.5pp
to 7¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.5pp
to 7¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.0pp
to 7¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 8¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -43.0pp
to 8¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.5pp
to 8¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -40.5pp
to 9¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 9¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 12¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.0pp
to 11¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -39.5pp
to 11¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 11¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 23¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢-0.7pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $7.6K
- 0¢-0.3pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $9.7K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $22.2K
- 100¢+0.1pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $1.2K
- 100¢+0.3pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $13.1K
- 100¢-0.1pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $333.69
- 100¢+1.1pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $4.6K
- 98¢+4.5pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $6.6K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢-40.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Crypto · Vol $2.9M
- 3¢+1.0pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $1.2M
- 1¢-0.5pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $296.5K
- 100¢+7.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $294.5K
- 0¢-5.5pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 25?
Crypto · Vol $290.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- Bumpy-Accessory79.1K
- 0xd4aa…d40c4.5K
- Grumpy-Error1.3K
- 0x92aa…0341426
- Dangerous-Rumor340
- Disgusting-Answer44.4K
- Impressive-Steak22.6K
- 0xb6fe…739411.3K
- Ambitious-Cicada3.1K
- Joyous-Wrist1.4K