CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 26?

Probability

0¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.8pp

24h Vol

$8.2K

Liquidity

$20.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:25
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $20.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 22h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 22 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 16:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 21.6h

    HIGH
  • 18:25Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-0.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -24.3pp at 02:00 (to 2¢).

Show all 31 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:25 · -11.1pp → 0¢
  • 17:00 · -10.6pp → 0¢
  • 15:00 · -10.8pp → 1¢
  • 14:00 · -13.3pp → 1¢
  • 12:00 · -14.7pp → 1¢
  • 11:00 · -20.4pp → 1¢
  • 09:00 · -18.8pp → 1¢
  • 08:00 · -19.8pp → 1¢
  • 06:00 · -20.5pp → 2¢
  • 05:00 · -17.9pp → 2¢
  • 03:00 · -21.9pp → 2¢
  • 02:00 · -24.3pp → 2¢
  • 00:00 · -20.7pp → 2¢
  • 23:00 · -19.3pp → 2¢
  • 21:00 · -18.6pp → 2¢
  • 20:00 · -20.2pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -22.2pp → 1¢
  • 1d ago · -15.3pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -10.6pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -11.4pp → 3¢
  • 1d ago · -9.7pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -9.6pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -7.6pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -10.0pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -11.0pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -11.1pp → 5¢
  • 2d ago · -9.6pp → 5¢
  • 2d ago · -10.7pp → 5¢
  • 2d ago · -11.9pp → 6¢
  • 2d ago · -13.5pp → 4¢
  • 2d ago · -16.4pp → 3¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventEthereum above ___ on April 26?
Category · Crypto

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · high
binance.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

20 wallets
Open on Polymarket