Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 27?
Probability
2¢
1h
-0.2pp
24h
-1.8pp
24h Vol
$5.0K
Liquidity
$17.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 2¢; -0.2pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 46h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $17.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 46h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 46 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 45.6h
- 18:23SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 46h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.3pp over the last 24h, now 2¢.
Biggest hourly move: -27.4pp at 02:00 (to 3¢).
Show all 29 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:23 · -13.5pp → 2¢
- 17:00 · -14.1pp → 2¢
- 15:00 · -13.2pp → 2¢
- 14:00 · -16.2pp → 2¢
- 12:00 · -17.7pp → 2¢
- 11:00 · -22.7pp → 2¢
- 09:00 · -22.5pp → 2¢
- 08:00 · -22.0pp → 3¢
- 06:00 · -21.4pp → 3¢
- 05:00 · -19.9pp → 3¢
- 03:00 · -24.5pp → 3¢
- 02:00 · -27.4pp → 3¢
- 00:00 · -23.4pp → 3¢
- 23:00 · -21.1pp → 3¢
- 21:00 · -21.3pp → 4¢
- 20:00 · -20.3pp → 4¢
- 1d ago · -23.1pp → 4¢
- 1d ago · -17.0pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -11.1pp → 4¢
- 1d ago · -10.7pp → 5¢
- 1d ago · -11.1pp → 3¢
- 1d ago · -11.5pp → 3¢
- 1d ago · -7.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 5¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -9.5pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -11.0pp → 8¢
- 2d ago · -12.5pp → 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.