Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 5PM ET

• 1

  Up 50pp over 24h

  Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

• 2

  Light volume — move on a thin book

  Only $18.2k traded against $386.8k of visible liquidity (0.05× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

• 3

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

• 4

  Past expiry — awaiting resolution

  Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

• 5

  UMA status: proposed

  An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.