Ethereum Up or Down on April 28?

• 1

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 28h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 2

  Thin liquidity

  Only $3.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

• 3

  Expiry in 28h

  Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Apr 27 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 28 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.