Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas
Probability
64¢
1h
+2.5pp
24h
+2.5pp
24h Vol
$283.33
Liquidity
$1.4K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 64¢; +2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 72h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 72 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 71.7h
- 16:17SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 72h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 64¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 62¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 62¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 28 at 12:00PM ET: If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to "Zalgiris Kaunas". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.euroleaguebasketball.net/euroleague/
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).