Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce
Probability
49¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$35.01
Liquidity
$615.21
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 49¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 115.5h
- 21:30SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.
Price movement
-1.5pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
6- 100¢+28.4
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-01?
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 0¢-10.4
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-01?
Other · Vol $366.8K
- 100¢+43.5
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?
Other · Vol $344.7K
- 100¢+0.1
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Other · Vol $296.4K
- 0¢0.0
Saint-Malo: Yue Yuan vs Anna Blinkova
Other · Vol $295.9K
- 18¢-1.0
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Other · Vol $264.9K
Market Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for May 6 at 1:00PM ET: If the Zalgiris Kaunas win, the market will resolve to "Zalgiris Kaunas". If the Fenerbahce win, the market will resolve to "Fenerbahce". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.