Valencia vs. Panathinaikos
Probability
59¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+3.5pp
24h Vol
$15.9K
Liquidity
$3.8K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Up 4pp over 24h
Now 59¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Heavy volume on this book — 4.2× turnover
$15.9k traded against $3.8k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 04Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $3.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 05Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:45SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 59¢.
Biggest hourly move: -18.0pp at 2d ago (to 33¢).
Show top 8 of 44 hourly moves
- 10:00 · +11.5pp → 60¢
- 09:00 · +11.0pp → 59¢
- 07:00 · +7.5pp → 56¢
- 21:00 · +11.0pp → 56¢
- 20:00 · +11.0pp → 56¢
- 17:00 · +11.5pp → 56¢
- 2d ago · +15.0pp → 66¢
- 2d ago · -18.0pp → 33¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 30 at 12:00PM ET: If the Valencia win, the market will resolve to "Valencia". If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.