Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-05-16?

1. 1

   Down 2pp over 24h

   Now 56¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 507h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 57.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

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In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 16, 2026 If Republic of Ireland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.