Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?
Probability
17¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$355.61
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 17¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1442h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 14.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1442.0h
- 19:58SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1442h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.
Biggest hourly move: -29.5pp at 2d ago (to 17¢).
Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
- 08:00 · -3.0pp → 17¢
- 06:00 · +4.0pp → 26¢
- 21:00 · +10.5pp → 28¢
- 20:00 · -3.0pp → 18¢
- 1d ago · +3.5pp → 20¢
- 1d ago · +5.0pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 22¢
- 2d ago · -3.5pp → 18¢
- 2d ago · -21.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · -29.5pp → 17¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8- 18¢-31.0pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.3M
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 28¢-29.0pp
Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Other · Vol $771.8K
- 100¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $555.5K
- 48¢+3.5pp
Athletics vs. Texas Rangers
Other · Vol $529.9K
- 100¢+50.9pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles
Other · Vol $392.6K
Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 24, 2026 If Scotland wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (14.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.