Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$10.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 26h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $10.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 3
Expiry in 26h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 26 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 26.1h
- 16:39SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 26h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 5¢+0.8pp
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 23¢0.0pp
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-0.4pp
Spread: OGC Nice (-2.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 86¢+0.5pp
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 66¢-0.5pp
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 44¢0.0pp
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $5.25
- 24¢-0.5pp
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $1.30
- 61¢0.0pp
Olympique de Marseille vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $4.83
- 0¢-38.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $878.9K
- 79¢+1.0pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $520.7K
- 59¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $481.8K
- 0¢-2.2pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $471.9K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $470.2K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.4K
Market Description
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game, scheduled for April 26 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "OGC Nice". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligue1.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsligue1.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.