Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 24?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+59.9pp
24h Vol
$21.6K
Liquidity
$2.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 03:09SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 72.4pp
to 100¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 72.9pp
to 100¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 70.3pp
to 100¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 71.2pp
to 100¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 61.1pp
to 93¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 23¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 38¢
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 15h ago
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 24, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 24, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
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