Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?

1. 1

   Up 13pp over 24h

   Now 39¢; +2.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $1.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Expiry in 22h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

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This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.