Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on April 25?
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.2pp
24h
-17.7pp
24h Vol
$5.7K
Liquidity
$1.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 18pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -0.2pp in the last hour.
- 2
Heavy volume on this book — 5.3× turnover
$5.7k traded against $1.1k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Thin liquidity
Only $1.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 5
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:06SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 12:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 0¢-0.3pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on April 25?
Weather · Vol $1.4K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 25?
Weather · Vol $1.8K
- 0¢-0.5pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 25?
Weather · Vol $1.5K
- 0¢-0.9pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 24°C on April 25?
Weather · Vol $1.1K
- 0¢-2.1pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 25?
Weather · Vol $2.5K
- 0¢-15.4pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 25?
Weather · Vol $4.0K
- 0¢-34.0pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on April 25?
Weather · Vol $12.7K
- 99¢+76.9pp
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on April 25?
Weather · Vol $11.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Apr '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
20 wallets- 0xa5ef…29661.6K
- Treasured-Coffin542
- Wan-Terracotta300
- Impish-Tract270
- Spiffy-Jury235