HYPE Up or Down on April 25?
Probability
98¢
1h
+41.0pp
24h
+48.0pp
24h Vol
$56.34
Liquidity
$60.58
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 48pp over 24h
Now 98¢; +41.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $61 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 0h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 0 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 0.4h
- 15:37SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 0h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for HYPE/USDT Apr 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Apr 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for HYPE/USDT Apr 24 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Apr 25 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).