SportsExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

Mantova 1911 vs. AC Monza: O/U 1.5

Probability

75¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$2.68

Liquidity

$5.1K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+13.5pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 22:00Apr 30, 2026, 21:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 75¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 16h.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $5.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 16h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 16 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 13:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 15.9h

    HIGH
  • 21:06Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 16h.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 75¢.

Biggest hourly move: -23.5pp at 2d ago (to 50¢).

Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
  • 2d ago · -23.5pp → 50¢
  • 3d ago · +12.5pp → 73¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 75¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 75¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 75¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 75¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 75¢
  • 4d ago · +13.5pp → 75¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Serie B game between Mantova 1911 and AC Monza, scheduled for May 1 at 9:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Mantova 1911 and AC Monza combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on legaserieb.it. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets