Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. FC Tōkyō end in a draw?
Probability
0¢
1h
-6.5pp
24h
-28.4pp
24h Vol
$10.3K
Liquidity
$76.6K
Probability (last 7 days)
-29.9pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 01Price move
Down 28pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -6.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $10.3k traded against $76.6k of visible liquidity (0.13× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 28.4pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 04Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 05Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 09:28SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 28.4pp in 24h with 0.1× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 09:28SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 07:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
-28.4pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Biggest hourly move: -28.0pp at 09:00 (to 0¢).
Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
- 09:00 · -28.0pp → 0¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 28¢
- 3d ago · -7.5pp → 28¢
- 4d ago · -7.0pp → 27¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 29, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 29, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
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