OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Apr 25, 2026

Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-25?

Probability

50¢

+31.0pp

24h

+32.0pp

24h Vol

$11.8K

Liquidity

$39.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+12.0pp 7d

Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:03

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice

08:03Signal
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 32.0pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
HIGH
08:03Signal
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
LOW
08:00Price
Probability up 34.0pp
to 50¢
MEDIUM
07:00Resolve
Market resolved 1h ago
HIGH
06:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
04:00Price
Probability up 3.5pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
02:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
00:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
22:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
20:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 19¢
MEDIUM
19:00Price
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -3.5pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
1d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.0pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.5pp
to 18¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.5pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -5.0pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -4.5pp
to 17¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -7.5pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
2d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM
3d agoPrice
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
MEDIUM

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

BUYYES
Upset-Trench$0.98@ 50¢
1m ago

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Same eventSanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Cerezo Ōsaka

Category · Other

Market Description

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Cerezo Ōsaka wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk

End date: Apr 25, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: https://www.jleague.jp/en/News consensus
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

20 wallets

YES

Open on Polymarket