Spread: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5)
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
-20.4pp
24h Vol
$204.79
Liquidity
$44.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
-28.4pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 08:05SignalHIGH
Signal · Momentum down
Probability moved down 20.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 08:05SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.9pp
to 0¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 9¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 34.0pp
to 50¢
- 05:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 12¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 20¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 20¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 21¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 21¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 22¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 22¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 19¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 19¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 20¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 21¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 22¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 23¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 18¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 19¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.5pp
to 18¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 19¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for April 25 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tegevajaro Miyazaki" if Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kagoshima United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://www.jleague.jp/en/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).