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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Spread: Tegevajaro Miyazaki (-1.5)

Probability

1h

-0.4pp

24h

-20.4pp

24h Vol

$204.79

Liquidity

$44.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

-28.4pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 09:00Apr 25, 2026, 08:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 08:05Signal

    Signal · Momentum down

    Probability moved down 20.4pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 08:05Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -14.9pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 34.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH
  • 04:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 12¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -8.5pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -9.5pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.0pp

    to 17¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.5pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.5pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.0pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for April 25 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tegevajaro Miyazaki" if Tegevajaro Miyazaki win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kagoshima United FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on jleague.jp. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.jleague.jp/en/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).