SportsExpires May 6, 2026

KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants

Probability

48¢

1h

+24.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$6.1K

Liquidity

$2.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 14:00Apr 29, 2026, 11:53
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 48¢; +24.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Volume pressure

    Heavy volume on this book — 2.1× turnover

    $6.1k traded against $2.8k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

  • 04
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 16.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 165.6h

    LOW
  • 11:53Signal

    Resolution risk

    Spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge.

    LOW

Price movement

+2.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.

Biggest hourly move: +18.5pp at 11:00 (to 64¢).

Show top 8 of 49 hourly moves
  • 11:00 · +18.5pp → 64¢
  • 09:00 · -11.5pp → 34¢
  • 3d ago · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -10.0pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -9.5pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -10.0pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -10.5pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -10.5pp → 40¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Kiwoom Heroes and Lotte Giants, scheduled for April 29 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kiwoom Heroes" if the Kiwoom Heroes win the game. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (16.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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