Querulous-Oxford
0xd81fbc5c53593e4e2923a641ff2bc7e2d9866b75
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
73
Open notional
$72.6K
Total PnL
$6.2K
Realised
$4.8K
Win rate
70%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 73- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
46434 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.2K
$2.3K
- NO
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
19310 shares @ 86.1¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.6K
$950.11
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2122 shares @ 76.8¢·now 76.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.6K
$1.76
- NO
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1491 shares @ 95.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.4K
$-38.96
- NO
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
1566 shares @ 72.3¢·now 67.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.1K
$-76.75
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3000 shares @ 60.7¢·now 23.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$694.50
$-1.1K
- ST. LOUIS CARDINALS
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$375.00
$-125.00
- NO
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
372 shares @ 89.4¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$350.18
$17.13
- YES
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-12?
648 shares @ 66.3¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$301.31
$-128.47
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
350 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$288.76
$-15.75
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026?$93.01Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$137.49Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$50.00Jun 13, 05:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$4.15Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$3.0KJun 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$401.77Jun 12, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$5.00Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$2.66Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.00Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$30.00Jun 12, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$2.63Jun 12, 17:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$52.22Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$26.89Jun 12, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$522.17Jun 12, 11:27 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.57Jun 12, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.37Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- MERGEWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$1.1KJun 11, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$988.79Jun 11, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$111.10Jun 11, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $380.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 10:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.