SportsExpires May 13, 2026
Creator

KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz

Probability

40¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-10.0pp

24h Vol

$2.7K

Liquidity

$15.3K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 13, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 30, 2026, 14:00May 6, 2026, 08:15
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-05-06T08-15Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 10pp over 24h

    Now 40¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $15.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 45¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 169.2h

    LOW

Price movement

-10.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

Biggest hourly move: -10.5pp at 08:00 (to 40¢).

Show top 8 of 15 hourly moves
  • 08:00 · -10.5pp → 40¢
  • 06:00 · -9.5pp → 41¢
  • 04:00 · -7.5pp → 43¢
  • 03:00 · -7.5pp → 43¢
  • 01:00 · -7.5pp → 43¢
  • 20:00 · -9.0pp → 41¢
  • 19:00 · -9.0pp → 41¢
  • 18:00 · -9.0pp → 41¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a market on the KBO baseball game between Lotte Giants and KT Wiz, scheduled for May 6 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lotte Giants" if the Lotte Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "KT Wiz" if the KT Wiz win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the KBO. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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